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Refine

Product · AWS Advanced Tier Services Partner

Stop being surprised by the AWS invoice

Trend-aware monthly projection, budget-vs-actual at any scope, and mid-month variance alerts. So month-end is a confirmation, not a surprise.

Connect AWS AccountSee Methodology

How forecasting works

Trend-aware projection, not naive extrapolation

The forecast adapts to seasonal patterns, step changes, and commitment coverage — so the number you see this morning reflects today's reality, not last month's.

  1. 1

    Trend-Aware Projection

    Per-service projection built on a 28-day usage level and an eight-week weekday profile, calibrated for weekday vs weekend and end-of-month invoice patterns. Not naive linear extrapolation.

  2. 2

    Run-Rate Adjustment

    Detects step changes — a new account, a new region, a deployment that doubled traffic — and updates the projection within a day instead of waiting for averages to catch up.

  3. 3

    Variance Signaling

    Projected vs budgeted gap surfaces mid-month, not at invoice time. Threshold breach triggers email alert to the recipients you configure.

  4. 4

    Commitment-Aware

    Forecast accounts for active Reserved Instances and Savings Plans. You see the net invoice projection, not the gross on-demand cost.

Monthly Totals + Projection

Historical bars plus a current-month bar that separates what has settled from what is projected for the rest of the month. The chart you'll look at before every budget meeting.

Monthly cost trend

USD · monthly

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun*
HistoricalBilled so far this monthProjected to month end

*June is not finished. The rest of the month is projected from this month's run-rate over the days that have settled, plus flat charges.

Refine's Cost Analysis page: a Cost Over Time chart stacked by service for July, August and an unfinished September, with the rest of September drawn as a hatched projection, and three Smart Insights cards — top services by cost, the region growing fastest, and the service flagged most cost-efficient
The live month's projection as it appears in the product. September is four billed days old, so the chart draws what has settled and hatches the rest of the month from the run-rate over the days that have settled, plus flat charges — and the footnote under the chart says exactly that. Below it, Smart Insights name the top three services by cost, the region growing fastest (ap-south-1, +15%) and the service it marks most cost-efficient this period.

Budget vs. Actual, at any Scope

Set budgets per account, service, or tag. Projected column shows where you'll land — variance flags before month-end, not at invoice review.

ScopeBudgetActual (MTD)Projected EOMVariance
Production accounts$10,000$6,420$11,200+12.0%
Staging + Dev$2,500$1,380$2,480-0.8%
Data + Analytics$1,500$930$1,640+9.3%
Shared services$800$510$770-3.8%

Reserved Instance / Savings Plan coverage

Commitment visibility is live today: the forecast accounts for active RIs and Savings Plans (so projections reflect net invoice cost), with coverage and utilization visible per service and account — and the planner now proposes what to buy next from your own usage baseline.

  • Commitment-aware forecast (net invoice projection)
  • Coverage % per service and account
  • Utilization visibility per commitment
  • Purchase recommendations from your usage baseline
  • Expiration calendar with renewal hints
  • Existing coverage split by type — Savings Plan, Reserved, Mixed
  • Savings Plan term and payment options compared (1yr / 3yr × upfront)
  • What-if simulator, recomputed as you type
Refine's RI / Savings Plan Optimization page: AI insights with top actions, overall coverage 0.0%, uncovered on-demand spend $834.24, two under-utilized commitments, projected savings $291.98, and two underutilization alerts on savings plans
Coverage, utilization and the two Savings Plans this account is under-using — with the AI insight naming the right-size action and the projected saving if the uncovered spend moved to a 1-year plan. Derived from the account's FOCUS billing data.

Frequently Asked Questions

  • Typically within 5–10% of actual end-of-month spend for accounts with stable workloads. Accuracy degrades for accounts in rapid scale-up or with very lumpy batch workloads — both cases are clearly flagged on the forecast.

Stop guessing at month-end spend

60-second setup. Free under $2,000/month of AWS spend. Read-only access.

Connect AWS AccountSee Cost Optimization

Refine is built and supported by HabileLabs, an AWS Advanced Tier Services Partner.